Unbelieveable Hands


Hi everyboy!

I can't believe people are making this calls:

Game # 2108439923 - Texas Hold'em No Limit 25/50 - Table "€1,000 Guarantee Deep Stack 10084338 9"

Players(max 9):
Golo14 (9,796.00 in seat 1)
tuffjam (6,824.00 in seat 2)
kaktus74 (7,219.00 in seat 3)
indi1988 (3,067.00 in seat 4)
Heinz- (6,086.00 in seat 5)
raccham (20,078.00 in seat 6)
redikappa (3,150.00 in seat 7)
colocolo78 (11,932.00 in seat 8)
charliedi (9,802.00 in seat 9)

Dealer: kaktus74
Small Blind: indi1988 (25.00)
Big Blind: Heinz- (50.00)

charliedi was dealt: Th - Ah

raccham Fold
redikappa Fold
colocolo78 Call (50.00)
charliedi Raise (181.00)
Golo14 Call (181.00)
tuffjam Fold
kaktus74 Fold
indi1988 Call (156.00)
Heinz- Fold
colocolo78 Call (131.00)

Flop Td - Kh - Js

indi1988 Check
colocolo78 Check
charliedi Check
Golo14 Check

Turn Td - Kh - Js - Qh

indi1988 Check
colocolo78 Check
charliedi Bet (387.00)
Golo14 Call (387.00)
indi1988 Fold
colocolo78 Fold

River Td - Kh - Js - Qh - 5s

charliedi Bet (1,548.00)
Golo14 Call (1,548.00)

charliedi shows: Th - Ah (a straight, Ace high)
Golo14 shows: 9d - Tc (a straight, King high)

charliedi wins: 4,644.00 (with a straight, Ace high)

Game ended 2011-03-02 17:46:25 CET

Game # 2108439800 - Texas Hold'em No Limit 25/50 - Table "€1,000 Guarantee Deep Stack 10084338 9"

Players(max 9):
Golo14 (9,796.00 in seat 1)
tuffjam (6,824.00 in seat 2)
kaktus74 (7,244.00 in seat 3)
indi1988 (3,117.00 in seat 4)
Heinz- (6,086.00 in seat 5)
raccham (20,078.00 in seat 6)
redikappa (3,150.00 in seat 7)
colocolo78 (12,738.00 in seat 8)
charliedi (8,921.00 in seat 9)

Dealer: tuffjam
Small Blind: kaktus74 (25.00)
Big Blind: indi1988 (50.00)

charliedi was dealt: Qh - Qd

Heinz- Fold
raccham Fold
redikappa Fold
colocolo78 Raise (300.00)
charliedi Raise (806.00)
Golo14 Fold
tuffjam Fold
kaktus74 Fold
indi1988 Fold
colocolo78 Call (506.00)

Flop Ad - Kc - 2c

colocolo78 Check
charliedi Check

Turn Ad - Kc - 2c - 5c

colocolo78 Check
charliedi Check

River Ad - Kc - 2c - 5c - Ks

colocolo78 Check
charliedi Check

colocolo78 shows: 5h - 7h (two pairs, Kings and Fives)
charliedi shows: Qh - Qd (two pairs, Kings and Queens)

charliedi wins: 1,687.00 (with two pairs, Kings and Queens)

Game ended 2011-03-02 17:44:52 CET

Calling a 16BB 3bet OOP with 75s! Those players are crazy! And there is no way to assign them a range.

GL everybody and see you soon!

When variance love you so


Hi everybody,

I'm here to say that sometimes you're not meant to win. I don't want to do a lot of bitching, just publish the hands that in the last 24 hours made me scream more (because in 3 of last 4 tourneys I've been busted because of a bad beat :@)

http://www.holdemmanager.net
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Full Tilt Game#28604768109

fabfivefreddie ($24.75)
Im Charlie Di ($27.94)
yarik5 ($25.82)
ypk ($25)
alwaysgotit33 ($24.95)
zpasts ($26.10)

fabfivefreddie posts (SB) $0.10
Im Charlie Di posts (BB) $0.25

Dealt to Im Charlie Di Kh Ah
fold, fold, fold,
zpasts raises to $0.75
fabfivefreddie calls $0.65
Im Charlie Di calls $0.50
FLOP ($2.25) Ad 2s 8d
fabfivefreddie checks
Im Charlie Di checks
zpasts bets $1.50
fabfivefreddie folds
Im Charlie Di raises to $3
zpasts calls $1.50
TURN ($8.25) Ad 2s 8d 6c
Im Charlie Di checks
zpasts checks
RIVER ($8.25) Ad 2s 8d 6c 5h
Im Charlie Di bets $2.50
zpasts raises to $6.50
Im Charlie Di raises to $24.19 (AI)
zpasts calls $15.85 (AI)
zpasts shows 7d 4d
(Pre 37%, Flop 38.9%, Turn 27.3%)

Im Charlie Di shows Kh Ah
(Pre 63%, Flop 61.1%, Turn 72.7%)

zpasts wins $50.31


http://www.holdemmanager.net
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Full Tilt Game#28604850460

Im Charlie Di ($47.29)
yarik5 ($25.47)
alwaysgotit33 ($24.95)
zpasts ($49.96)
Coldkiller ($25.25)

Im Charlie Di posts (SB) $0.10
yarik5 posts (BB) $0.25

Dealt to Im Charlie Di Ad As
alwaysgotit33 calls $0.25
fold,
Coldkiller raises to $1
Im Charlie Di calls $0.90
fold,
alwaysgotit33 calls $0.75
FLOP ($3.25) 5h 3s 8h
Im Charlie Di checks
alwaysgotit33 checks
Coldkiller bets $2.40
Im Charlie Di calls $2.40
alwaysgotit33 folds
TURN ($8.05) 5h 3s 8h 6s
Im Charlie Di bets $3
Coldkiller calls $3
RIVER ($14.05) 5h 3s 8h 6s Jh
Im Charlie Di checks
Coldkiller bets $8
Im Charlie Di calls $8
Coldkiller shows 3h 3c
(Pre 19%, Flop 90.2%, Turn 95.5%)

Im Charlie Di shows Ad As
(Pre 81%, Flop 9.8%, Turn 4.5%)

Coldkiller wins $28.55


Game # 2108385874 - Texas Hold'em No Limit 10/20 - Table "€1,000 Guarantee Deep Stack 10084338 9"

Players(max 9):
covcov12 (1,640.00 in seat 1)
tuffjam (4,560.00 in seat 2)
jotonn69 (4,720.00 in seat 3)
indi1988 (5,370.00 in seat 4)
Heinz- (4,870.00 in seat 5)
raccham (13,770.00 in seat 6)
colocolo78 (4,880.00 in seat 8)
charliedi (5,190.00 in seat 9)

Dealer: charliedi
Small Blind: covcov12 (10.00)
Big Blind: tuffjam (20.00)

charliedi was dealt: Qh - Ah

jotonn69 Fold
indi1988 Call (20.00)
Heinz- Fold
raccham Call (20.00)
colocolo78 Fold
charliedi Raise (87.00)
covcov12 Raise (311.00)
tuffjam Fold
indi1988 Fold
raccham Fold
charliedi Call (234.00)

Flop 7d - 5h - 3c

covcov12 All-In (1,319.00)
charliedi Call (1,319.00)

Turn 7d - 5h - 3c - Jd
River 7d - 5h - 3c - Jd - 5s

covcov12 shows: Jh - Ac (two pairs, Jacks and Fives)
charliedi shows: Qh - Ah (a pair of Fives)

covcov12 wins: 3,340.00 (with two pairs, Jacks and Fives)

Game ended 2011-03-02 17:13:52 CET


Game # 2108385856 - Texas Hold'em No Limit 100/200 - Table "Turbo Freezeout 10084339 15"

Players(max 9):
peter10 (2,830.00 in seat 1)
charliedi (1,107.00 in seat 2)
giocatore11 (11,397.00 in seat 3)
daLerssi (1,285.00 in seat 4)
allgod88 (7,592.00 in seat 5)
arsenico1 (7,142.00 in seat 6)
trullo1990 (1,036.00 in seat 7)
nji5419 (2,680.00 in seat 8)

Dealer: peter10
Small Blind: charliedi (100.00)
Big Blind: giocatore11 (200.00)

charliedi was dealt: Ks - Ah

daLerssi Fold
allgod88 Call (200.00)
arsenico1 Fold
trullo1990 Fold
nji5419 Fold
peter10 Fold
charliedi All-In (1,007.00)
giocatore11 Call (907.00)
allgod88 Fold

Flop 9s - 6h - 4c
Turn 9s - 6h - 4c - Jc
River 9s - 6h - 4c - Jc - 2d

charliedi shows: Ks - Ah (high card Ace)
giocatore11 shows: 6s - As (a pair of Sixes)

giocatore11 wins: 2,414.00 (with a pair of Sixes)

Game ended 2011-03-02 17:13:17 CET

The Importance of Thinking


Hi eveybody,

I'm setting aside some hands to evaluate later, and this is one those. I'd like to share this hand with you because it shows how thinking about ranges and betting patterns can help you at poker.
Let's start:

Game # 2107123138 - Texas Hold'em No Limit 150/300 - Table "€2,000 Guarantee Rebuy 10039380 3"

Players(max 9):
bocchino1 (6,442.00 in seat 1)
arvid1915 (8,427.00 in seat 2)
Joani (19,326.00 in seat 4)
SuperTilt1 (2,616.00 in seat 5)
charliedi (8,451.00 in seat 6)
Eddie_H (4,913.00 in seat 7)
jkk32 (14,687.00 in seat 9)

Dealer: charliedi
Small Blind: Eddie_H (150.00)
Big Blind: jkk32 (300.00)

charliedi was dealt: 6h - 3h

bocchino1 Fold
arvid1915 Fold
Joani Fold
SuperTilt1 Fold
charliedi Raise (862.00)
Eddie_H Fold
jkk32 Call (562.00)

Ok, I'm on the BTN with ~30BB. 63s is not a hand to play for value so I'm trying to steal the pot and, in case I got called, to have a disguised hand that plays well postflop. When BB calls I think he doesn't have a big hand. He maybe trapping with a monster but being OOP and me having less than 30BB he could try to min3bet big hands to induce a resteal or just 3bet for value. Anyway I don't think he has a big hand so move on.

Flop Ks - 6d - 7s

jkk32 Check
charliedi Bet (1,200.00)
jkk32 Call (1,200.00)

Weird flop. Is wet but not too wet. Is dry but not too dry. Is a 2 of a suit with low straight possible. Does it plays well with my range? but, more important: does it plays with his range? Now I think about his calling range preflop. He can call with Ax, broadways, suited connectors and mid-small pocket pairs (99 or less). In this flop KK, 66 and 77 got me crushed. If he has a K, 99 or 88 I'm also in bad shape but for the rest of his range I'm flipping/slightly ahead. When he check call I detach from his range the big hands, the pot is growing and he doesn't fight for it. Instead, he gives me the chance to get a hand to get why? Because he also need a stronger hand. So, to me, his range now is Ax, small pairs and suited connectors.

Turn Ks - 6d - 7s - Ah

jkk32 Check
charliedi Check

The A, scary card! Depending on how he plays the ace I will do or don't. -...- He checks. To me this is a shown of weakness, he is as afraid of the ace as I was so let take it out of his range too.

River Ks - 6d - 7s - Ah - 7h

jkk32 Bet (2,400.00)
charliedi Call (2,400.00)

when river deals the 7 I say: mmmm no! It's possible he has a 7 and played it like me (controlling the pot) but, in my mind, his most likely holding was the busted draw. I thought, took the whole time balance and called.

jkk32 shows: Js - 5s (a pair of Sevens)
charliedi shows: 6h - 3h (two pairs, Sevens and Sixes)

charliedi wins: 9,074.00 (with two pairs, Sevens and Sixes)

Game ended 2011-03-01 20:39:24 CET

I was right! :D

So guys, everytime you make a decission don't forget to make your analysis because... it works!

GL everyone and see you soon

Arrgh!! I hate my life!!


No man! It can not be true!
I haven't played a lot of tournaments lately and today I make a final table.
The bad thing is I busted by a MISCLICK!!! I was on the BB with JTo, then BTN minraises, I check the autocall tick but after 1 sec I change my mind and decide to fold but, in this time, SB has raise all in. So, instead of deselecting my choice (calling 8000) I end up calling all my chips against 3 players.

Result, I finished in 9th position. Life is sick sometimes.

GL everybody and see you soon.

Good News


Hi everybody!

I'm here with goods news! I can announce that I already finished the first chapter of my donk bet study.
After more than 2 weeks and dozens of hour later it seems I've learnt to use CardrunnersEv Calculator so i'm moving faster now.
I don't know how long will it take me the complete analysis but, if things goes this way, the complete hand (3 streets with all the variables) can take more than 100 pages ;)
So, if any of you is interested in the idea send me an email to charlie.di.poker@gmail.com

GL to everyone and see you soon!

Evaluación de mano


Hola amigos!

Hoy hago una edición especial de evaluación de manos. Es la evaluación de una mano que acabo de jugar con un amigo. Yo voy a repasar la mano desde mi punto de vista y después comentaré lo que creo que se puede mejorar en su juego.

La mano en cuestión es la siguiente:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (2 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com 
Hero (SB) ($299) 
BB ($410) 
Preflop: Hero is SB with K, 10  
Hero bets $8, BB calls $6 
 Flop: ($16) K, 3, 9 (2 players) 
BB bets $8, Hero calls $8 
Turn: ($32) 8 (2 players) 
BB checks, Hero bets $20, BB raises to $40, Hero calls $20 
River: ($112) 4 (2 players) 
BB checks, Hero checks 
Total pot: $112
Empecemos pues!
Preflop mi subida es estándar. En general suelo subir siempre la misma cantidad cuando tengo que abrirr el bote. Pero como sé que mi amigo va a hacer call muy frecuentemente con un rango muy loose, no me importa variar el tamaño de la apuesta en función de la fuerza de mi mano. Tal y como esperaba, paga.
El flop trae K39 y pienso: guay! Voy a apostar por valor e intentar sacar tres calles. Pero cuando pensaba que me iba a dejar la iniciativa, apuesta de cara. En el estudio sobre donk bets que estoy haciendo, trato cómo este tipo de apuestas pueden jugarse en un flop cargado de proyectos, pero aquí??? Si empiezo a delimitar el rango, tengo las siguientes observaciones:
- Normalmente no hace donk bets, por lo que no puedo jugar la mano con las asunciones de siempre.
- Suele ser pasivo y jugar check-call cuando no tiene nada y espera pillar más tarde.
- Antes ha hecho call en la ciega grande con AKo y ha jugado pasivo.
Así que mi idea es que su rango se compone principalmente de reyes con mal kicker y de algunas parejas o proyectos raros (QJ, JT, QT).
El turn empieza como esperaba, intentó llevarse la mano con un rey malo y como no me tiré va a jugar más despacio. Como creo que voy por delante hago una apuesta de ~2/3 del bote y para mi sorpresa, en lugar de hacer call me resube. Bien, vuelvo a evaluar la situación. Ese 8 da escalera abierta a JT y si lleva diamantes, (Ax) que no lo descarto, también se abre proyecto. De todas formas, la mano de la que tengo auténtico pavor es 33/99. Creo que es muy probable que tengo un trío aquí en cuyo caso ya estaría KO. Tengo que pagar 20$ para llevarme un bote de 92$, lo que me da unas odds de 4.5:1. Aunque sólo sea por el buen precio tengo que pagar ya que si no tiene el trío entonces no estoy tan mal:

Board: Kh 3s 9d 8d
Dead: 

    equity     win     tie           pots won     pots tied   
Hand 0:     67.123%      65.47%     01.66%               5041           127.50   { KsTs }
Hand 1:     32.877%      31.22%     01.66%               2404           127.50   { QQ-TT, 88-66, A9s, K5s+, K3s, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, 97s+, 93s, A9o, K8o+, K3o, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o }

Contra un rango de Kx y algunos 9x tengo un 67% de Equity, así que decido hacer call sabiendo que si demuestra fuerza en el river me tiro y si no la demuestra, check behind o un call pequeño.
El river no ayuda a nadie y él pasa. Puedo ir por delante? Sí. Merece la pena apostar? No, si me está tendiendo una trampa sólo voy a lograr perder más fichas. Si por el contrario, ha ido de farol va a hacer fold con todas las manos. Queda el espacio intermedio de las manos con valor al showdown. Posiblemente pague cualquier rey y algún 9, pero contra K3, K9, K4, KJ, KQ y AK (que todo puede ser) pierdo con lo que sólo gano a K2, K5, K6, K7 y K8. 6 me ganan, 5 gano yo y la amenaza del check raise. Conclusión: hacer check y ver qué llevaba. 97o! I win :D
Bueno, después de mi resumen esto es lo que yo aconsejaría a mi colega:
No has jugado mal. Estando cara a cara hay que jugar muchas manos y yo estoy abriendo cada botón, así que el call preflop es bueno.
Fíjate en el tamaño de las apuestas. Si normalmente abro por 3BB y una vez cambio y apuesto 4BB intenta ver y recordar con qué manos lo hago para ponerme en un rango.
La apuesta del flop está bien. Al abrir tanto muchas de mis manos son mediocres-malas. Si tienes un farol aquí puedes apostar. Recuerda que juegas fuera de posición y eso da una imagen de mano fuerte y vas a tirar un alto porcentaje de mis manos.
Cuando hagas un check-raise no apuestes el mínimo, es mejor que tu apuesta sea 3x la mia. Si yo apuesto 20$, tú 60$. Eso hace que me des peores odds (no es lo mismo 92:20 o 4.5:1 que 110:40 o 2.8:1) y demuestra más fuerza.
Por último, yo hubiera apostado ese river. El bote son 112$ y después de toda la fuerza demostrada vas a tirarme de bastante manos que van a ganar a tu 9, pero si pasas dejas que me escape vivo.

Espero que te haya servido de ayuda y seguimos en contacto :)

Awesome Poker Hands


Hi everybody!
I'm here again one more day. There's still not a lot of poker (play) in my life but I love the game as always. So, eventhough I'm not playing, I keep studying, reading and watching poker.
And that's what I bring you today, some videos to watch the amazing things that can happen at a poker table. I hope you enjoy the clips:







GL and see you soon.

Last hand review


Hi everybody,

I'm here today to apologize. I want to apologize because I made some mistakes in my last post hand review.

If you have played poker just a bit (well, almost by common sense) you would realize that in the previous hand, when the action gets to the turn, your equity can not be 4%. You have an open ended and the nut flush draw. This give you at least a 30% equity. But the more I looked for the mistake, the more clueless I was so I asked in the thread found in 2+2.

My guess would be that you've also entered a river where AcJc is just A high.
That would explain a 4% equity.
He were right. So I just redid the calcs but now without the river. Here is shown what I got:

Preflop:
This change doesn't affect preflop data, that is way I'm not showing it.


Flop:

First thing I have to say here is: Forget everything you read in my last post, is all wrong! Lets gonna reevaluate the hand again. In the flop our equity changes radically (compared to the old, bad analysis), it goes from 4% to 47,7% WOOW!. We have the two overs, the nut flush draw and a backdoor straight draw, so we have a nice amount of outs. To make this call profitable we have to take a look at the odds we are getting. He bets 350 into a 230 pot that results in a 580 pot. We have to pay 350 to win 580 or 580:350 or 1,66:1. This means that our equity in the pot have to be 1/2,66 = 0,376 that is the same as 37,6%. So we smile because our 47,7% is clearly bigger than the 37,6% minimun needed.


Turn:

Here we find that our equity have been reduced, why? Because if a J hits on the river our pair may be beaten by the straight so we have fewer outs than the flop and with one chance less to hit. Anyway, we still have a nice amount of equity to make our move. We still have the three options we talked before:

a) Shoving.
b) Calling.
c) Folding.

Now I'm gonna evaluate them.

a) Shoving
We can see in the graph published above that when we shove he will be calling with the 40% of the hands and, against his range, we have a 38% equity. So our EV is:
Pot size before shoving = 3020
Pot size after shoving = 4030
Fold Equity = 60%
Pot Equity = 38%
EV = 0,60*3020 + 0,40*0,38*4030 = 2424 -> Ev = 2424 - 2000 = 424


b) Calling
In this scenario we have to make to assumptions: What happen if we hit? What happen if we don't?
We are going to have a look step by step:

b.1) We check
We check to any river. Opponent will polarize his betting range to the point that he will check behind hands with moderated showdown value (One pair in a uncordinated board, up to two pairs if the gustshot is there and at most a straight if another club comes) and will shove the rest (big showdown value and bluffs). In this situation we can only call with at least a straight because his bluff range is so thin that is almost zero.
With this assumptions we have:
EV (opp. check behind)
Pot Size: 2010
Call%: 31%
Pot Equity: 38%
EV = 2010*0,31*0,38 = 236 + 1010 = 1246 //We have to add 1010 because is the value of our stack at the river.

EV (opp. bet and we call)
Pot Size: 4030
Bet%: 69%
Pot Equity: 11%
EV = 4030*0,69*0,11 + 0 = 305

EV (total) -> 1246 + 305 - 2000 = -551




b.2) We lead
We bet any river. Ok, what does this mean? First, he doesn't have a bluff range here. We are playing against his value range only. Second, praise we are playing against a player who can fold a hand when he already put half of his stack in the middle. And third, that given how the hand has been played we need an extraordinary amount of Fold Equity because his hand looks really strong. What hands are gonna be calling our shove?
- Overpairs+ if there is no flush and no straight.
- Straights+ if a straight is possible.
- Flushes+ if a 3rd club comes.
Now that we know why are we doing this move and against what range of hand are playing lets evaluate it:
Pot size before shoving: 2010
Pot size after shoving: 4030
Fold Equity: 73%
Pot Equity: 38%
EV = 3020*0,73+4030*0,27*0,38 = 2617 -> Ev = 2617 - 2000 = 617



So the ranking ends this way:
1st - Check-Call Turn, Shove River = 617
2nd - Check-Shove Turn = 424
3rd - Check-Call Turn, Check-Call River = -551

I hope you liked my (I hope this time correct) analysis. If you want to share any thoughts or opinions or whatever just post a comment.

GL to everybody and see you soon

Hand review of the day


Hi everybody,

I'm here to make my first hand history review with the help of CardrunnersEV.

I haven't played a lot this days and there are no interesting hands in Perpetuum so I'm gonna take a look to a hand that I just played in the Early Double in Full Tilt. Let's have a look on the hand:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (9 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com 
MP2 (t2210) 
MP3 (t2020) 
CO (t1970) 
Button (t1970) 
SB (t1980) 
BB (t1820) 
Hero (UTG) (t2000) 
UTG+1 (t2030) 
MP1 (t2000) 
Hero's M: 66.67 
Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, J 
Hero bets t60, 3 folds, MP3 raises to t100, 4 folds, Hero calls t40 
Flop: (t230) 5, 10, 8 (2 players) 
Hero checks, MP3 bets t350, Hero calls t350 
Turn: (t930) 9 (2 players) 
Hero checks, MP3 bets t540, Hero raises to t1550 (All-In), MP3 calls t1010 
River: (t4030) K (2 players, 1 all-in) 
Total pot: t4030
And now I'm going to break it down:

Preflop:
I think my open is fine/close. Playing from early position it seems a stronger range to open JJ+, AQ+ but being suited I think I can play it profitably. The big mistake comes when I make the call to his 3 bet. As we can see in the next picture, if he is 3betting with a range like this (JJ+,AJs+,AKo) I'm making a big -EV call.


Flop:
Then comes the flop. Is not a bad one, and is clearly better than an A-high one so I check hoping for a check behind that it doesn't happen. So lets evaluate the flop: He bets 350 into 230 so I'm gettin 1.66:1. With the range I gave him I can't count my Ace as an out due to kicker issues, so I have: 9 outs for the flush + 3 outs for the J equals to 12 outs. 12 outs over 47 cards results in 2.92:1, So this big overbet allow me to call hoping to hit my flush (Look how this affects our equity, winning an impressive 06%!!).

Turn:
Ok, now the river bring as an OESD+NFD. The jack is no more an out because a Queen would make a bigger straight. I check again hoping, once again, that my opponent check after me allowing me see a free river, but this doesnt happen neither.Now, he bets 540 into 930 so I'm getting 2.72:1 for the call. Now I have three two optons:
a) Call and wait for a good card.
b) Shove on him.
c) Fold  To me, folding seems so weak that I really don't take it into account.

So now I have to choose between calling and shoving. Once again, I think calling is too weak. If the river is a brick there's no way to win the hand unless I make a hopeless river bluff. If I raise now he may fold AK or AQ and that would be a good new for me. The problem is I don't have Fold Equity or, as we see below, I don't have enough FE to make him fold. We can see that if we can't rely on FE to win the hand, we are a big underdog


 But if we take a look when we think that opponent can fold AJ+ to our bet the things are a bit different:


Now I make him fod 60% of his hands so the final Ev of the move is:
EV = 3020*0,62 +0,38*(4030*0,36) = 2431

 So, if we think he's gonna fold all those hand to our reraise is a good move ;)

Hope you liked my analysis and hope to see you here for the next one.

GL at the table and see you soon. 


February Goals


Hi everybody,

I'm here today with two new comments to do.

First of all, I'd like to ask to Perpetuum Poker support to change hand history format. At least the MTT HH format. I've seen that HUSNG HH has a format that is captured by Holdem Manager. Would be a nice feature mostly because would make it easier to review the hands.

Also I'd like to say that I'm really excited waiting for the stuff of Cardrunners to activate my StoxEV calcultor as it seems a really interesting app to study poker. When I get used to it I'll try to post and review one hand everyday.

So that's all my news for today. Talk to you soon and good luck till then.

Resacosix en la barra - '39 cover


Hi everybody,

Today I'm not bloggin' about poker. Instead I'd like to share with you this song. It's a cover of Queen "'39" and even his meaning in spanish may seen different, in fact they are the same, the lost of the loved ones. Hope you like it:



GL to everybody and dont forget to take care the ones you love because once they are gone there's no way back.

See you soon

Tilt and downswings management


Hi everybody,

I write again with no poker news to tell. Why? Because I've taken a break for a few days, hoping to leave mi tilt apart.
During this time I have had time to review HHs, watch videos and read. One of the things I liked the most (and was yet helpful) was this article from AJKHoosier1.



My Name is Alex Kamberis & I'm on the Worst Downswing of My Career

Sometimes poker really sucks.
I mean, unless your name is Phil Ivey, sometimes poker REALLY sucks. If your name IS Phil Ivey, you can probably just go ahead and skip this article - thanks for reading, Phil, it’s an honor.
I’m writing this, my first article for BLUFF, in the middle of the worst downswing of my career. Now, it’s admittedly pretty big, but it’s not huge - since going deep-ish in the PCA this year, I’m down approximately $100,000 playing poker. Really, this isn’t much, given that some of it comes from a single $25,000 tournament (at the NAPT Venetian series) and some more from $25/$50 cash games, but still, it qualifies as my biggest downswing ever. Since this is my first article, it feels like it would be almost irresponsible to talk about anything else but just that - losing. This issue of BLUFF alone contains probably a few articles discussing, in some way, shape or form, how to win at poker. My goal here is to sneak one in about how to LOSE at poker, because for any wannabe professional, it’s just as important. I’ve broken down my thoughts on this subject, thoughts that become more prevalent after every losing session, into three basic ‘lessons’ regarding downswings and difficult losses.
LESSON #1: Who do you think you are?
The very best poker players in the world suffer terrible downswings.
Let me repeat that.
THE VERY BEST poker players in the world suffer TERRIBLE downswings.
So, really, what makes you think that you shouldn’t? Are you some kind of godly creature that simply never loses in any game you play, without exception? I thought I told you to stop reading, Phil.
Poker is unlike the vast majority of “competitions” in that the best players win at rates that usually significantly differ from what their edge in skill provides. I don’t need to tell you that poker is a game that involves an extraordinary amount of chance ... or do I? While I doubt I could get a quote out of any of them, I’m quite sure there are still a handful of well-known professionals that feel they will NEVER experience an abnormally bad downswing. This group includes mostly players who ran far above expectations to start their career (a group that includes myself) and have become jaded to the realities of the game. The fact is, that you are NOT going to be the one example of a player who has a lasting, successful career without experiencing a single major downswing. It just plain does not happen - the sooner you accept that fact, the better. Therefore, the key to a healthy state of mind is managing your...
LESSON #2: Expectations
One of the biggest winners in online poker history, Dusty “Leatherass” Schmidt, recently wrote a short book about his experiences in poker. While I can’t claim to have read it cover to cover, a friend of mine gave me a heads-up on a quote from it that he really enjoyed. Basically, Leatherass hired a sports psychologist to discuss the emotional effects of poker and how to best control them. The expert told him something along the lines of, “You obviously EXPECT to have downswings, so why would you ever be upset when you do?” Well, that sure makes sense, and it almost makes you feel like an idiot for ever letting those things get to you.
The key is to always be looking at your career as an overall timeline, not from spike to spike. The way you should think of it is to consider yourself a poker-playing machine. You are booted up on the first day of your career and you shut down when you retire. However much you win over the course of a lifetime, so be it. In between will be massive upswings, massive downswings, and just about everything in the middle, but all that matters is that ultimate bottom line.
Never let what you KNOW to be a natural downswing affect your overall view of the game. Likewise, never let an upswing lull you into a false sense of security. To be honest, I’ve been prone to the latter myself, and it can make things a lot harder when the inevitable downswing occurs. The first couple years of my poker career went better than anyone’s should. When you start off a big winner, you expect to always be a big winner, because it’s all you know. Poker has a funny way of bringing you back down to earth just when you feel like you’re floating on air.
In other words, expect to win, but don’t expect to win every day.
LESSON #3: Remembering to forget / “What doesn’t kill you...”
Immediately before I wrote this article, I had a losing poker session, bricking an entire afternoon’s worth of online tournaments. After I finish this article, there’s a decent chance I’ll start up what will eventually be another losing session, this time at the cash tables. Tomorrow, there’s a pretty good chance that I’ll cap off the weekend with another loss.
What, you think I should stop?
The past few months I’ve run drastically below my “all-in EV” (the amount one wins or loses if every showdown plays out according to its expected value) in every cash game I’ve played. I’ve bubbled the money and/or the final table of multiple huge online tournaments in just about every way possible; insane bad beats, ridiculous coolers, and of course, the occasional misstep. Obviously there are some hands or moments that hurt more than others, and when it comes down to it, we aren’t actually poker playing robots. I mean, you’re reading an article by someone who once threw a mouse across the room when he lost aces to queens for an enormous pot on the final table bubble of an $1,000 online tournament. Funny story, it happened to hit a light hanging from my ceiling, and I cut my hand cleaning up the glass ... lesson learned?.
Now, I know what you’re thinking: “THIS guy is trying to tell ME not to be affected by losing? Well, no, I’m not. If Adam Morrison can cry on national television after Gonzaga loses an NCAA tournament game, then you damn sure can bang your first on the table when you lose AK to 7-2 on the final table bubble of a tournament. There’s nothing wrong with getting momentarily upset about these things — in fact, there’d be something wrong with NOT getting upset about them. What matters is that you move on and that your play remains constant. With all the tough beats and brutal losses I’ve taken, I’m sure I’ve gone to sleep with a frown more than a few times lately. However, I can honestly say that I NEVER wake up the next day still upset, dwelling on what might have been the night before. This is a pretty major point of pride for me, and should be for you as well. As poker players, if all we are concerned with is our bottom line, then the only session we should be concerned with is our NEXT session.
So get over it! While no part of this article is anything too revolutionary, I know it’s helped me personally to put down on paper how I should be thinking, providing myself and all those who are reading a guideline for failing successfully. Maybe like me, you can come back to this article during your next major downswing, and make sure that you are abiding by these ‘rules of losing.’ If you are mentally well equipped to handle downswings, then those downswings will inevitably become briefer and rarer. Best of luck to all of you, both on and off the tables.

Source: http://www.bluffmagazine.com/magazine/My-Name-is-Alex-Kamberis-%26-I%27m-on-the-Worst-Downswing-of-My-Career-Alex-Kamberis-2010.htm

Hope you found it as useful as me. After this I'm ready to come back to crush the field and fight for a CardMaster seat.

GL everybody and see you soon.

How many times, a man must be rivered


Before you can call him a winner? (Charlie Di-lan)

Hi everybody!

I'm here again, trying to drop off tilt. Why am I on tilt? Because sometimes I hate poker and this week is one of this "sometimes" moment. This week is the 0-outs-week. No matter what hand I hold, if is draw it will not complete, if is a made hand there will come the river to say "hey baby, I'll show you the way out" :@.
I understand poker, I understand variance and I'm not critizicing my opponents (yes please, keep making this awful impressive shoves/calls) but I wish if I play right my luck will come back to me.

Well, that's everything for now from tiltland.

Gl everybody (me too, please) and talk to you soon

Perpetuum Poker Players: WTF!?


Hi Everybody,

Here I am one more day to review my Perpetuum Poker experience.

Today's topic is a really interesting one because I'm reviewing the players I play against everyday in this Entraction skin. Before going any further I'd like to say the next three things:

- I am as bad player as the worst poker player ever. My comments here are based upon my observations in the poker table and by no means I think that I'm better player than my opponents.
- I will try to avoid applying qualificative adjetives such as bad, wrong, awful, etc to other players. When I use them will be referred to poker theory (eg 72o is a bad opener UTG).
- I'm sorry in advance if anybody is hurt by the words I say. Is not my intention to criticize, I just describe what I see and what's my opinion about, so peace to everybody :).

And after all the said and done lets start:

Even I haven't played a ton of games I can say one thing: they are the weakest players I've player ever. Why I say this?  Look:

Game # 2046686674 - Texas Hold'em No Limit 10/20 - Table "Tournament Table €1,000 Guarantee 9795685 2"
Players(max 9):
renpan                      (2,420.00 in seat 2)
hergoher1                   (3,080.00 in seat 3)
runninggood                 (2,328.00 in seat 4)
demattese                   (30.00 in seat 5)
e92967t                     (5,227.00 in seat 6)
pbp-dennis                  (5,175.00 in seat 7)
charliedi                   (2,595.00 in seat 8)
fabione1966                 (2,185.00 in seat 9)

Small Blind:                runninggood (15.00)
Big Bling                    demattese    (30.00)
charliedi was dealt:        4c - 4h
e92967t                     Fold       
pbp-dennis                  Fold       
charliedi                   Raise       (90.00)
fabione1966                 Call        (90.00)
-------------------- Ok till here ------------------------------
renpan                      Fold       
hergoher1                   Raise       (390.00)
runninggood                 Fold       
charliedi                   Fold       
---- 300 to call to win 390 + 90 + 90 + 45 -> 300:615 ~ 1:2 and I need 1:8 so good fold ----
fabione1966                 Call        (300.00)
---- Same reasons apply, and given his hand strenght he should be more decided to fold ----
Flop                        8s - 8c - 2c
fabione1966                 Check      
hergoher1                   Bet         (457.00)
------------------------ Standard ---------------------------
fabione1966                 All-In      (1,795.00)
---- WTF??? Check Raise All In 70bb with 33?? In the early stage vs a 3bettor after an Early Open + Call?? ----
hergoher1                   Fold       
fabione1966                 Payback     (1,338.00)
Turn                        8s - 8c - 2c - 6c
River                       8s - 8c - 2c - 6c - 9d
fabione1966 shows:          3c - 3s (two pairs, Eights and Threes)
fabione1966 wins:           1,694.00 side pot (with two pairs, Eights and Threes)
demattese shows:            As - Jh (a pair of Eights)
fabione1966 wins:           135.00 main pot (with two pairs, Eights and Threes)
Game ended 2011-01-23 18:22:06 CET


Game # 2046733988 - Texas Hold'em No Limit 25/50 - Table "Tournament Table €1,000 Guarantee 9795685 7"
Players(max 9):
sergei1                     (629.00 in seat 1)
DanituBcn                   (5,153.00 in seat 2)
fabioCi80                   (1,455.00 in seat 3)
claudiu123                  (3,368.00 in seat 4)
maurinio77                  (3,590.00 in seat 5)
charliedi                   (2,385.00 in seat 6)
St_Pedro                    (3,980.00 in seat 7)
Nille__P                    (2,690.00 in seat 8)
Cassiopee                   (4,075.00 in seat 9)
Dealer:                     charliedi
Small Blind:                St_Pedro    (25.00)
Big Blind:                  Nille__P    (50.00)
charliedi was dealt:        Jc - 7c
Cassiopee                   Fold       
sergei1                     Call        (50.00)
----------- 8 BB deep and limp, will you be limp-shoving? -----------
DanituBcn                   Fold       
fabioCi80                   Fold       
claudiu123                  Fold       
maurinio77                  Fold       
charliedi                   Raise       (200.00)
----------- Big mistake, thats why I can't be writing this and playing at the same time -------
St_Pedro                    Fold       
Nille__P                    Fold       
sergei1                     Call        (150.00)
----------- ??? will he shove any flop? ------------------
Flop                        2s - 9s - 3s
sergei1                     Check      
charliedi                   Bet         (475.00)
------------ I'm sure that if I bet he folds ----------------------
sergei1                     Fold       
----------------- Unbelieveable ------------------------------
charliedi                   Payback     (475.00)
charliedi didn't show hand
charliedi wins:             475.00
Game ended 2011-01-23 18:34:50 CET

That's what I mean. If I would open the chat and ask:
Hey guys, what would be your range for *?
I'd get this:
range? what is this? what is a "range"?
Ok, maybe not everybody, but I realize the mayority of the players doesn't understand one of more of this things: Position, Stacks, Stage; Betting Patterns -> Ranges. They will call a shove 70bb deep in the early stage of the tourney with Second Pair Second Kicker and will limp fold BvB with 6 BB and a Kx hand in an unopened pot.

They doesn't know what a Push/Fold strategy is and what hands should be shoving and when. Of course, I can call his 9d5d 10bb shove with my AhQh and lost, but at least I'm getting the money in good.
And not only Push/Fold ranges are missing. I open UTG with ~30BB, somebody 3bets me in late position for 12BB, I 4bet shove and he calls with A9o. A9o!!! Can you believe it?? And ovbiously he won to my JJ but ok, that's just variance. The key is that this happened in a $75 + $75 tournament, we are not talking about micro stakes where players dont know how to play, this is a very decent stake so... it makes me think.

All of this is something to take into account when playing. let's say we have this situation:
A player in early position open for 3x and everybody folds to me. I 3bet 10BB in the button. both blinds folds and he calls. We are both deep (50BB at the begining, now 40BB). Flop is
As7c3c - he checks and I cbet 11BB (standard move isnt it?) and he calls again. Now turn is:
As7c3c5c - and now he donk shoves!! Oooooooooooouuuuuuuuuuuuuu Yeeeeeeeeeaaaaaaahhhhhhhhh!!
In the short term I've been playing here I've learned that a big overbet means a busted draw or a small pocket pair or air or the nuts. So, what can I do here?? I put more than 1/3rd of my stack, so I'm commited but... I'm getting it in good? I know that is as likely that he shows AcJc as 44 so is a tuff decision.

So what's the solution? You guessed it: Adjust!! But how? Tighten Up! They are very loose players and there are no antes (I will talk about this in other post) so the best thing to do is wait for a good hand and then bet strong hoping the suckout machine is off.

Thats all for today. Hope you have a good week and good luck at the tables.

See you soon!

First Thoughts On Perpetuum Poker


Hi Everybody,

Here I am ready to share my first impressions in this new site (for me) that is Perpetuum Poker.

As I've been playing there for only 2 days I can't say that my conclussions are close to be definitive but as a experienced player that have played in almost every poker net (stars, tilt, cereus, cake, ipoker, ongame and few more) I think I can address what we could see as a strenghts, small improvements and weaknes.

Lets start for the good things:
- As a mostly (I mean 90%) MTT player I'm happy to find that there are quite a lot of tournaments and with all kind of buy-ins. I can play small BI regularly and take some shots here and there because there is always a interesting tourney in the next 20 min.
- The average field of each tournament is really small compared to other sites (<200 vs >6000) so this give you more chances to get in the money.
- The average field of each tournament is weaker compared to other sites for the same and lower BI. I think this is a very important topic that will develop in further posts when I get used to the ranges of the players.
- Also, although I'm not a cash player, you have a lot of tables to play in very different stakes, that is always a good thing if you want to switch a bit from MTTs.

Now the small improvements:
- Time bank: Would be nice to have that extra time to take decissions. You have a good slice of time per hand but, sometimes (like lately in a tourney), you need an extra bit to think about the best action to take and the time bank would be perfect for that.
- Choosing a seat: If you multitable a lot, or making it simpler, if you just 4-table is quite difficult to track your cards and position from table to table (and even more in tournaments that you change the table and so the position). So being able to have a reference seat would make the game highly more dynamic.
- Late registration: Sometimes you open the loby and see marked in red a tournament that you would had been interested to play. If there were an option for late registration probably more players could join to the games.

And, at last, the weaknes:
Unsynchronized breaks: I think this is a weaknes because it make you a slave. If you are playing 3, 4 or tournaments at the same time you find that you can't have a one minute break. If the tourneys start at o'clock, past 5, quarter and half hour thre breaks will never be at the same time so you will never be able to leave for a drink or for a pee if you don't sit out. And this is a major inconvenience.
I don't want to tell anybody how to make his work but, as a computer science student, I give you my two cents.
No matter if you use functional or OO programming, I'm sure you will have a function/procedure/object that manage the tournament time. I guess that you have a countdown that looks something like this (in pseudocode):

IF 1_hour_counter = 0 THEN
break = true
manage the break
break = false
reset (1_hour_counter)
END IF

Instead of this you could easily make a system call to get the clok and if the time is correct the, go to break:

IF min_55 (system_clock) THEN
break = true
manage the break
break = false
END IF

Well, I hope some perpetuum poker staff read this and think about it.

And that's all for now. I'll keep blogging with my ups and downs in the poker world.

GL at the tables and see you soon.

Back to the game


Hi everybody,

I'm here again! Yeah. After a long break where I felt I had no poker goals, I'm back!
I've found a new poker site: Perpetuum Poker. And they have a promotion that I've set as my new goal: The Card Master.

The promotion is a backing one. I've to be one of the best players of the site (good ROI u know) and make a deep evaluation of my game in the blog. If I meet the requirements I'll be among the 5 players staked by the site to go EMOP events. I want to start crushing the site to be elegible for March EMOP in Estoril.

So this is the born of a new day in the blog and in my poker life. I'm going for it and I feel unstoppable.

Good luck at the tables and will talk again soon!